Insight

NCAAF Player Props: Week 13 Slate

November 25, 2023

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The final regular season week of college football has arrived, sad isn’t it? Rivalry week is one of the best weeks of the season so I’ll certainly be getting as much as I can of it.

When looking at the best college football player props for week 13, we can’t leave out The Game between Ohio State and Michigan. So let’s dive in.

NCAAF Player Prop: TreVeyon Henderson ATTD

NCAAF Player Props TreVeyon Henderson

The Buckeyes finally have a running game for what seems like the first time this season. Henderson was one of the more highly anticipated running back recruits in recent memory and he’s finally playing to his potential.

The story all season has been about how few opponents have been able to reach the red zone against the Wolverines. But the Ohio State offense is far and away the best they’ve seen this season.

Since Henderson returned from his injury in week 9, he’s the only Ohio State running back to score from inside the opponent 10-yard line. He’s got the vast majority of red zone carries for this offense and with McCord’s struggles Henderson should see plenty of volume.

NCAAF Player Prop: Ja’Quinden Jackson Rushing Yards

NCAAF Player Props Ja'Quinden Jackson

Taking a look at Jackson on the surface and the over isn’t the first thing you think of. But let me show you the beauty of filters on the Props.Cash interface.

I’ve filtered Jackson’s rushing yards in games that Utah has won and the results are really encouraging. Having gone over three straight. The Utes are 20-point favorites on Saturday against Colorado.

The three games he did go under this season have very specific reasons why. Week 1 against Florida Jackson he was not the starting running back, in the game against Weber State he only received 9 carries in a massive blowout, and finally UCLA boasts the best run defense in the country.

Colorado gives a great opportunity for Jackson to run efficiently, they allow 5.3 yards per carry which ranks 103rd in the nation.

NCAAF Player Prop: Ainias Smith Receiving Yards

NCAAF Player Prop Ainias Smith Receiving Yards

The Aggies have some questions at quarterback with Max Johnson listed as questionable for this one. Regardless of the guy throwing him the ball the Texas A&M slot receiver should produce.

LSU boasts a horrendous defense, they’re giving up 29.3 points per game and more specifically their 249.8 passing yards allowed per game ranks 104th in the country.

Last week’s game vs Abilene Christian was a throwaway as they played players deep into their bench in a massive blowout. Take that game away and Smith has gone over in 5 of his last 8 games.

NCAAF Player Prop: Cameron Ward Passing Yards

NCAAF Player Prop Cameron Ward Passing Yards

The Cougars go as Cameron Ward goes and he’s bounced back in a big way from his mid-season struggles. Clearing this number in 3 of his last 5 games. He’s also attempted 45.4 passes per game during this 5 game stretch.

The Apple Cup is being played in Washington and going on the road should be no problem for the Washington State QB.

NCAAF Player Prop Cameron Ward

On the road this season Ward is averaging 351 passing yards per game, far eclipsing this number.

As more than two touchdown underdogs in this game, Ward will be throwing it early and often.

NCAAF Player Prop: Omarion Hampton Rush Yards

NCAAF Player Prop Omarion Hampton

The Tar Heels haven’t played to their potential this season, but Omarion Hampton has been a significant bright spot. In the last two weeks he’s put up big time numbers against quality defenses in Duke and Clemson.

NC State is yet another pretty difficult test, they rank 31st in opponent EPA per rush. But they are giving up 4.8 yards per carry, so it isn’t necessarily an elite unit.

NCAAF Player Prop Omarion Hampton

Hampton’s volume is tough to pass up, averaging 22.6 carries per game. Even getting 19 in a loss to Clemson last week. NC State is actually even better against the pass, ranking 8th in opponent EPA/pass. They should keep leaning on Hampton as favorites in this one.

Thank you Tyler MacKillop for this article. He can be found on X @TylerMacKillop

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