Insight

Tuesday’s MLB Pitcher Trends in 5 Graphs

May 16, 2023

Statistical insights, trends, and outliers that should be on your radar today.

Lance Lynn has eclipsed his “Earned Runs” prop in seven of eight starts this season – Across this span, Lynn is allowing 4.6 EarnedRuns/Start. Will he stay under vs CLE who have the 2nd worst wRC+ & 9th lowest OBP vs RHPs?
Luis Castillo has cleared his “Strikeouts” prop in seven of eight starts – In 2023, Castillo is logging 6.5 Strikeouts/Start. The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 19 K% vs RHPs which ranks as the 2nd lowest in the MLB – Last season, Castillo hit 10 Ks in his only start vs BOS
Seth Lugo has hit his “Outs” prop in five of seven starts in 2023 – So far this season, Lugo is logging exactly 17 Outs/Start in his 1st season as a starting pitcher. The Royals have a 81 wRC+ vs RHPs which also comes with the 2nd lowest OBP – How many Outs will Lugo record tonight?

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Kyle Muller has thrown two or more “Walks” in seven of eight starts this season – During this stretch, Muller is averaging 2.6 Walks/Start. The Diamondbacks currently have the 2nd lowest BB% when facing LHPs – Can they forced Muller into throwing two or more Walks?
Jordan Montgomery has hit his “HitsAllowed” prop in each start this season but one – That lone start came against the Brewers who he will be facing tonight. The Brewers have been one of the worst teams vs LHPs – This season, they have the lowest wRC+ & 2nd worst OBP when facing a lefty

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