TNF in 5 Graphs

November 17, 2022

Statistical insights, trends, and outliers that should be on your radar today.

Derrick Henry was shut down by the Broncos last week, though he had 2 TDs in 3/4 weeks prior to that. Tonight, he faces a GB team that is middle of the pack in rushing TDs allowed/g. Can he get back on track in the primetime spotlight?
Christian Watson has stayed under his “ReceptionYards” prop in six of seven games mainly due to a low Snap%. However, with injuries to two of GB’s WRs, he played 84% of Snaps vs DAL – This game he saw 8 Targets while reeling four of them for 107 Yards. Tonight he gets a TEN defense allowing the most PassYards/G – Can he replicate his performance from last week?
A. J. Dillon has went over his “RushYards” prop in six of 10 games this season – He is getting 11.1 RushAttempts/G while logging 4.2 YPA & 45.4 RushYards/G. TEN may have a weak Pass Defense but they show off the 3rd best Rush Defense in the NFL – Last season, Dillon had 21 carries vs TEN where he recorded 124 Yards

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Aaron Rodgers has hit his “Completions” prop in six of 10 games this season – At this point in the season, he is averaging 33.7 PassAttempts/G. He gets a weak Pass Defense in TEN – So far this season, seven QBs have hit their own PassAttempts prop line vs the Titans.
Robert Woods has stayed under his reception yards line in 6/9 games, including 4 straight. He is averaging 29.6 yard/g on the season, and GB is ranked 29th in pass yards allowed/g.

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