Sunday’s NHL Slate in 5 Graphs

May 07, 2023

Statistical insights, trends, and outliers that should be on your radar today.

Brandon Montour has been amazing on home ice when it comes to shots on goal. He has a 70% hit rate over 2.5 this season, clearing this line in 24 of his last 30 when skating at home. In 2 previous home meetings against TOR, Montour had 4 SOG each time.
Sebastian Aho has tallied a point in 7 of 8 games this post season, including 5 straight, and 2/2 vs NJ so far. The Hurricanes took both games on home ice, and game 3 is now in New Jersey. Aho has a point in 66% of his away games this season.
In his last 7 meetings against the Panthers, Ryan O’Reilly has 3+ SOG 6 times. What is amazing is that he has done this with incredible efficiency, taking just one shot off target in that span. Is it possible to keep this up, or does regression set in?

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Max Domi has 7 points in his last 4 games (6 assists), and against the Kraken, he has at least 1 point in 7 of their last 9 meetings. He is on a line with Joe Pavelski, and Joe has been scoring a ton.
With 3+ shots on goal in 6 of his last 8 games, Martin Necas has looked more like his early season self lately. He has 5+ attempts in all but one game in the playoffs, and when he gets 5+ attempts this season he has a 79% hit rate over 2.5.

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