Saturday’s NBA Slate in 5 Graphs

March 11, 2023

Statistical insights, trends, and outliers that should be on your radar today.

Zach LaVine has a 60% hit rate at his 3.5 assists line, including hitting in 3 straight games. HOU is ranked 23rd against assists, so it’s a + spot on paper. LaVine has hit this in each of his last 2 against the Rockets.
Ivica Zubac has 8+ rebounds in 9 of his last 10 games, and 69% of his games overall. The Knicks are ranked 13th against rebounds this season, so slightly better than league average. Zubac has hit this line in 3 straight meetings vs NYK, including a 13 rebound game this season.
Dillon Brooks is scoring far less lately than he was to open the season. He is under his 13.5 line in 19 of his last 22 games overall. DAL is middle of the league in points allowed, so it’s an average spot on paper. His minutes and attempts are slightly down from his season average.

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Terry Rozier has back to back games over his 6.5 assists line, though on the season he has a 19% hit rate. UTA is ranked 8th against assists allowed this season, and Rozier has gone under this line in 3 straight meetings against them.
Paolo Banchero has a 57% hit rate this season at his 19.5 points line, including going over in 4 straight. He will face a MIA team ranked 2nd against points this season. He has faced the Heat twice, staying under this line in both meetings.

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