Guysssss. The NHL is back, and so are we! *Insert the Klay Thompson video where the announcer says, ‘Heeeeeee’s baaaaaaaack.’*
Last season, we had an 11-week and 17-week streak where we were profitable. So, what are we waiting for? Let’s get right into our first set of picks to kick-start a new winning streak.

NHL Player Prop Insight: Matt Boldy Shots on Goal

Boldy has cleared this line in four of seven games this season, averaging 2.9 shots on 5.6 shot attempts per game. Last season, Boldy was a road warrior, registering 3+ SOGs in 65% of his road games compared to 47% at home. However, that has flipped this season, as Boldy has cleared in just two of five road games compared to 2/2 at home. But we’re anticipating Boldy returns to his favourable road splits and builds off his most recent road outing, where he registered five shots on seven shot attempts.

Against the Philadelphia Flyers, Boldy has cleared this line in three of five games, averaging 3.8 shots on 7.0 shot attempts. On the road against the Flyers, Boldy is a perfect 2-0, averaging 5.5 shots on 8.0 shot attempts. So far this season, the Flyers are allowing the seventh most shots to wingers (12.3) per game.

The broad-street bullies of old seem to be coming back, as the Flyers average the fourth most power play opportunities against, averaging 4.3 per game. While Kirill Kaprizov leads the Minnesota Wild in shot attempts on the man advantage, Boldy is a close second but leads the team in shots on goal, with seven on 10 attempts. Looking at the heat maps for the Flyers on the penalty kill, they are susceptible to shots on goal from the bumper spot, which is where Boldy takes most of his shots on the power play.

NHL Player Prop Insight: Noah Dobson Shots on Goal

Dobson has cleared in four of seven games this season but has really picked it up as of late. He’s registered 4+ shots on goal in four straight games, averaging 5.3 shots on 8.5 shot attempts. At home this season, Dobson has cleared in two of three games, averaging 3.7 shots on 9.0 shot attempts.

Now, the New York Islanders are on latter half of a back-to-back, which hasn’t been favourable to Dobson, clearing in just two of 10 games last year. However, he still fired, averaging 5.7 shot attempts over that span.

When Dobson saw 5+ shot attempts last year, he cleared at a 50% clip.

Buttttt, if you filter his chart to his home splits when he sees 5+ shot attempts, this percentage bumps up to 67%. And that’s only five shot attempts, he’s averaging 8.5 over the last four games…

Last season against the Florida Panthers, Dobson cleared this line in two of three games, averaging 2.7 shots on 7.0 shot attempts. The Panthers this season are allowing the second most shots to defencemen, averaging 10.8 per game. Against opposing teams’ top power play defenceman, the Panthers have allowed six of nine to go over their SOG line.

NHL Player Prop Insight: Conor Garland Point

Those who aren’t watching the Vancouver Canucks this season aren’t seeing how well Garland has been playing. He’s undoubtedly been the best Canuck forward, and this team has the likes of Elias Pettersson, JT Miller and Brock Boeser.

Garland has points in five of six games this season, averaging a point per game. He’s also found the scoresheet in both home games to start the season in a third-line role. But now, Garland has graduated to the top-line skating with Pettersson and earned himself a role in the bumper spot on the team’s top power play.

The only gripe for Garland is that he doesn’t have the greatest history against the Penguins, only registering a point in two of his last six games. However, the Penguins are on the second half of a back-to-back and will likely turn to Alex Nedeljkovic, who hasn’t necessarily been a shining star in the crease. Nedeljkovic has allowed eight goals in his two starts this season with a .869 save percentage. It’s not just Nedeljkovic, though; the entire Penguins team has struggled, averaging the second most goals against per game (4.2).

So, with Garland’s lineup elevation and the Penguins defensive struggles should lead him to continue on his point streak.

NHL Player Prop Insight: Tomas Hertl Point

Did somebody say revenge game?

This marks Hertl’s first game against his former team, the San Jose Sharks. And this couldn’t come at a better time for Hertl, as he’s posted five points over his last two games and eight points in eight games this season.

You won’t be shocked to hear that this Sharks team has struggled to keep the puck out of their net this season. They’ve picked up where they left off last season, allowing 3.9 goals against per game, good for fourth most in the league. On the other hand, the Vegas Golden Knights have been offensive fireworks to start the year, averaging 4.4 goals per game, good for third in most in the league.

Thank you, SpittinPicklets, for the article. He can be found on X @SpittinPicklets

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