Insight
NFL Prop Insights: Christmas Day
December 24, 2024
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Thanks to our friends at RotoRadar for the article (@jaredrblock & @rotoradarriemer of @RotoRadar)
NFL Player Prop Trend: Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts
The Chiefs have the No. 1 seed in the AFC and have clinched their division. A win here will help solidify sole possession of the No. 1 seed overall in their conference, with an option to rest players in Week 18 in the event the Bills lose later in the week. Kansas City’s offense is operating with the 2nd-highest Pass Rate Over Expectation in the NFL (4.3%). Patrick Mahomes has attempted 37 or more passes in eight of his past ten games and will face a Steelers defense that has allowed the 8th-most passing yards to the QB position over the past month (4th-most fantasy points to the QB position as well).
NFL Player Prop Trend: Ka’imi Fairbairn Kicking Points
Fairbairn has been one of, if not the most consistent kickers in the game this season. He has made 2+ field goals in 13/15 contests and has cleared the 6.5 kicking point mark in 13/15 as well.
NFL Player Prop Trend: Jaylen Warren Rushing + Receiving Yards
Pittsburgh’s offense is running the ball at the 3rd-heaviest clip in the NFL (47%). Najee Harris has been out-touched by Jaylen Warren 16 to 22 respectively over the last two weeks – the latter being a valuable pass-catching asset. Warren has eclipsed 55+ scrimmage yards in eight of his last ten games (9/13 this season).
NFL Player Prop Trend: Joe Mixon Receiving Yards
Mixon gets a middling matchup here but has surpassed 20 receiving yards in five-straight home games for the Texans (every game he has suited up for them at home this year).
NFL Player Prop Trend: Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Lamar Jackson has scored 20+ fantasy points in 13/15 games this season and has rushed for 45+ yards in seven of Baltimore’s eight road games this season.
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