What if I told you there were only three more regular season weeks of college football? That is our reality as we’re just a few weeks away from Thanksgiving. So let’s find our right spots here as we don’t have too many more chances!

Take a look at these CFB player props for week 11 of the season.

NCAAF Player Prop: Colston Loveland Receiving Yards

The game of the weekend kicks off the Saturday slate in Happy Valley. I think JJ McCarthy will be the focal point of this Michigan offense as the Penn State defense has been the best in the country against the run. They’re allowing just 3.5 yards per carry and rank 3rd in opponent EPA/rush.

Manny Diaz, the defensive coordinator for the Nittany Lions, is blitzing opponents on over 50% of plays. Loveland is the guy when McCarthy is blitzed, his target rate jumps to 30% and he leads the team in receptions.

The Wolverines tight end has gone over this number in 4 of 5 games when opponents blitz Michigan on 40% or more of plays. Not to mention he’s been dynamic lately, going over in three straight games.

NCAAF Player Prop: Will Sheppard Receiving Yards

It’s been a very rough few weeks for the Vanderbilt offense, having gone through the toughest stretch of their season, and the results bear that out with their #1 wide receiver. But have no fear, the South Carolina Gamecocks are just what the doctor ordered. Who just gave up 28 points to first year FBS program Jacksonville State last week.

South Carolina has been one of the worst teams in college football against the pass. They rank 124th in opponent EPA/pass, giving up 8.2 yards per pass attempt (121st).

Excluding the game he left due to injury against Ole Miss, Sheppard has received 8+ targets in 78% of games this season. Look for him to get back to his early season self in this one.

NCAAF Player Prop: Carson Beck Pass Yards

Carson Beck is in legitimate Heisman trophy conversation after yet another impressive performance against Missouri last week. The current passing yards number for this Saturday is one he’s cleared in 67% of starts this season.

The Rebels boast one of the most overrated defenses in the country. When they’ve faced even mediocre quarterback play they’ve been sliced and diced. Max Johnson, Jayden Daniels and Haynes King all eclipsed 300 yards passing against Ole Miss this season.

The Bulldogs have a chance here to add to their resume with a top-10 win. Look for Beck to move it at will against a defense who’s numbers don’t tell the entire story.

NCAAF Player Prop: Dillon Johnson Rush Yards

I got a peak at this number early on in the week and it immediately surprised me. As soon as I saw it on the Props.Cash mobile app I had to lock it in. Johnson has only been able to clear this rushing line in 3 of 8 games this season.

The Utes defense is not one to be taken lightly, especially when it comes to running the football against them. Utah is 21st in opponent EPA/rush, giving up just 4.5 yards per carry.

The Huskies aren’t one to lean on their rushing attack, they’re actually throwing the ball on 59.6% of plays which is the 9th highest rate in the country. I get that this is a game Washington is heavily favored in, but this is a sizeable number.

NCAAF Player Prop: Bucky Irving Rush Yards

This looks like a pretty intimidating number for Irving on the surface, as he’s only gone over in 2 of his last 8 games. But when facing this USC defense all you’re looking for is opportunities.

Irving is getting those, having seen the ball 16.4 times per game in his last 5. The game against Washington really sticks out, he saw 22 carries in that one. I see a similar approach coming form Dan Lannings team here too, as they try to dominate time of possession and keep the ball out of Caleb Williams hands by putting it on the ground plenty.

USC won’t have much answer for the run, they haven’t all season. Opposing starting running backs have gone over this number in 5 straight games. The Trojans rank 115th in EPA/rush and are allowing 203.5 total rushing yards per game.

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Thanks to Tyler MacKillop for this article. He can be found on X @TylerMacKillop

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