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Thanks to our friends at PropTheMic for the article (@propthemic)!

NBA Player Prop Trend: Damian Lillard Rebounds

Damian Lillard has grabbed 4+ rebounds in ALL 9 home games this year.  On the season as a whole, he also has a great hit rate, recording 4+ boards in 14 of 17 games (82%).  He has a great matchup against Atlanta tonight, as the Hawks are giving up the 6th most rebounds to opposing point guards at 6.8 rebounds per game.  In two games against Atlanta last season (both in Milwaukee), Dame had 4 and 6 rebounds.  He’s been great on back-to-backs this season as well, covering 3.5 rebounds in all 3 games he’s played on zero rest, averaging 5.7 per game.

NBA Player Prop Trend: James Harden Rebounds

James Harden has played 5 games on a back-to-back this season and has grabbed 6+ rebounds in all 5, averaging 8.6 rebounds.  Tonight he gets a great matchup against Minnesota, who’ve allowed the 2nd most rebounds to opposing shooting guards. These teams played less than a week ago, on the day after Thanksgiving, and Harden had 6 boards in that game.  Harden has a 74% hit rate on 6+ rebounds this season and has averaged 6.9 per game, but he’s been even better at home with a 77% hit rate (11/13) and averaging 7.6 rebounds per game.

NBA Player Prop Trend: Jalen Johnson PRA

At 236 points, the Hawks-Bucks game has the highest point total on the slate tonight, so there should be plenty of offense in this game and Jalen Johnson should be a big part of it.  Johnson has had a breakout season, recording 33+ PRA in 13 of his last 18 games (72%), averaging 37.3.  He’s covered 32.5 PRA in 8 of his last 10 games, averaging 36.6.  Other comparable forwards with big games against the Bucks this season include: Pascal Siakam 34, Jayson Tatum 49, Jimmy Butler 32, Jalen Brown 40, and Miles Bridges 29.

NBA Player Prop Trend: Jaden Ivey Assists

Jaden Ivey has 5+ assists in 9 of his last 10 games with 18+ minutes played, averaging 5.6 assists in those 10 games.  He’s also been great on back-to-backs, recording 4+ assists in 9 of his last 10 games on zero days rest with 15+ minutes, averaging 5.2 assists.  He played the Celtics on a B2B earlier this season and finished with 6 assists.  In fact, he’s been great against the Celtics in general and especially in Boston, recording 4+ assists in 6 of 8 games against the Celtics, including all 4 games in Boston!

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