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Thanks to our friends at PropTheMic for the article (@propthemic)!

NBA Player Prop Trend: Terance Mann 14.5 Pts + Reb + Ast

No Paul George, No Kawhi. Mann is going to see a much bigger role with this Clippers team. He should see 30+ minutes in the first game vs PHX at the Clipper’s new home, the Intuit Dome. Mann was excellent last year when getting the minutes, clearing 14.5PR in 73% of games with 27+ minutes and 19 straight games when playing 27+ minutes and without Kawhi.

We don’t put too much weight on preseason games, but Mann did average 0.67PRA per minute in his 5 preseason games. If he sustains this rate in game 1 he should only need 23 minutes to clear 14.5 PRA. Clearly a lot of unknowns with this team, but we do see this being the lowest line we get for Mann this season. Let’s take advantage!

NBA Player Prop Trend: John Collins 17.5 Pts + Reb

John Collins was one of the most consistent players in the NBA last season.  He cleared 17.5 Pts + Reb in 84% of games last season and 94% of games with 23+ minutes.  You would think this would be inflated by the absence of Lauri Markkanen for 27 games last season, but Collins actually cleared 17.5 Pts + Reb in 97% of games last season when playing with Markkanen and getting 23+ minutes. Collins is likely to come off the bench tonight, but we still see him getting 25+ minutes!

NBA Player Prop Trend: Josh Giddey 11.5 Points

Josh Giddey left a deep OKC Thunder team this offseason to join a Chicago Bulls team where he will be running the PG position and see a significant increase in minutes and FGA. We’re projecting Giddey for 10+ FGAs tonight, so he can be pretty inefficient and still get to 12+ points.  Fresh start for Giddey tonight against a Pelicans team he’s cleared 12+ points against in 8 of his last 10 matchups.

NBA Player Prop Trend: Nick Richards 16.5 Pts + Reb

With Mark Williams OUT, Nick Richards gets the start for the Hornets to begin the season.  Richards recorded 17+ Pts + Reb last season in 61% of games, but this rose to 73% in games in which he played 27+ minutes.  He also appears to really benefit from the presence of LaMelo Ball in the lineup, clearing 17+ Pts+Reb in 92% of games over the last two season when playing just 20+ minutes.  With LaMelo, Miller, Bridges, and Josh Green on the floor, Richards should have plenty of opportunities to grab boards and clean up on put backs!

NBA Player Prop Trend: Brandin Podziemski 8.5 Points

The departure of Klay Thompson in the offseason opens up around 15+ FG attempts for the rest of the team.  Brandin Podziemski should be one of the main beneficiaries of these extra looks as he slides into the Warriors starting lineup.  BPod had a great preseason, averaging 9.8 points in 22.6 minutes, attempting 7+ FG in 4 of the 5 games.  He cleared his line of 8.5 points in 80% of games last season with 7+ FGA.  He had good success against Portland too last season, scoring 9+ points in 3 of 4 games.  Look for BPod to continue to shine in his second season in the league!

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