Insight

NBA Player Prop Insights: Wednesday

January 17, 2024

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By Prop The Mic

It’s Wednesday and we have a ten game NBA slate tonight!  With so many options to choose from, we used all those filters on props.cash to find our favorite…a few of which might surprise you.  Have a look:

NBA Player Prop Trend: Kyle Lowry 2.5 Rebounds

NBA Player Props Today Kyle Lowry

Lowry gets the start tonight against his former team TOR and we’re going with his rebounds.  He appears to be slotted for 20-26 minutes again tonight and has cleared 2.5 rebounds in 8 of 10 games (80%) this season with those minutes.  There are some rumors of Lowry being on the trade block too, which could lead to extended time in this game.  In games with 26-30 minutes he has cleared in 6 of 7 games (86%) this season.  Lowry has also recorded 5 and 4 rebounds in his previous two games in Toronto.  Look for the scrappy veteran to give that extra effort against his former team!

NBA Player Prop Trend: Donovan Mitchell u7.5 Assists

NBA Player Props Today Donovan Mitchell

Spida Mitchell goes up against a Bucks team that he has fared well scoring against in the past.  In his last two meetings vs MIL he scored 36 and 34 points, dishing out 6 and 9 assists.  Today we’re going to focus on an under play on his assists, as the line looks a bit too elevated.  While he did have 9 assists in the prior meeting vs MIL, he has only crossed 7.5 assists in 14% of games this season.  Even if we look at games without Darius Garland, this hit rate only goes up to 23%.  He is in a great scoring matchup tonight so we expect him to be prioritizing the shot over the pass.  In his past matchup with MIL he attempted 23 shots.  In games in which he has attempted 23+ shots this year he has only cleared 7.5 assists once. 

NBA Player Prop Trend: Jalen Duren 1.5 Assists

NBA Player Props Today Jalen Duren

Wait what…Jalen Duren assists?  We have been cashing tickets on Duren’s points, rebounds, double-doubles all season, but it’s time to take a look at assists. He’s cleared 2 assists in 76% of games this season and 82% of games when playing 23+ minutes.  This includes 10 straight games with 23+ minutes and 4 of 4 with Cade Cunningham out of the lineup.  He should have a tough time scoring tonight against Gobert, which will open up more passes from the post.  Recent centers against MIN have been assisting at a high rate, including Al Horford (5), Dwight Powell (4, 6), Jonas Valanciunas (3), Isaiah Hartenstein (3), and Anthony Davis (8).  Look for another 2+ assists for Duren and feel free to pair it with Minnesota Money Line to improve the odds.

NBA Player Prop Trend: Jonas Valanciunas 22.5 Pts + Reb

NBA Player Props Today Jonas Valanciunas

JoVal is in a great spot tonight against a Hornets team that he has dominated over the past 2 seasons.  In his last 3 matchups vs CHA he has recorded 47, 39, and 42 Pts + Reb…his line tonight is 22.5.  Overall this season he’s cleared this in 63% of games and 6 of his last 7 games.  We have some pretty good comps here too for centers vs CHA, with Bam Adebayo (34), Domantas Sabonis (34), Nikola Vucevic (31), and Andre Drummond (36) all crushing on Pts+Reb vs CHA in the past two weeks.  With LaMelo back, let’s hope CHA can keep this close enough for JoVal to get the minutes.  But if he performs like his last three games vs CHA we might be looking at a third quarter cash!


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