Insight

MLB Pitcher Props Today: Opening Day

March 28, 2024

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MLB Player Prop: Mitch Keller Strikeouts

MLB Player Props Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller was able to clear his Strikeouts prop in 24 of his previous 30 starts – Through his L30 starts, Keller logged 6.5 Strikeouts/Start. His first start will come against MIA who had the 7th lowest K% when facing a RHP in ‘23 – Keller logged 5, 7, & 5 Ks in three starts vs the Marlins

MLB Player Prop: Framber Valdez Outs

MLB Player Props Framber Valdez
Between the 2022 & 2024 seasons, Framber Valdez has hit his Outs prop in 81% of starts (56/69) – During this stretch, Valdez was able to log 19 Outs/Start. Last season, the Yankees had the 6th highest wRC+ when facing a LHP, but had the 13th lowest OBP – Valdez hit this number in both career starts when facing NYY

MLB Player Prop: Jose Berrios Earned Runs

MLB Player Props Jose Berrios
Jose Berrios closed out last season by not allowing three or more Earned Runs in nine of last 15 starts. When facing a RHP in 2023, the Rays rocked the 2nd highest wRC+ paired with the 5th highest OBP – On the flip slide, Berrios is under this number in four of five career starts vs TB

MLB Player Prop: Justin Steele Walks

MLB Player Props Justin Steele
Justin Steele has stayed under his Walks prop in nine of his last 30 starts – When looking at his L30, you’d see he averages just 1.2 Walks/Start. However, he’s set to face the reigning World Series Champs in the Texas Rangers – During their ‘23 season, TEX had the highest BB% when facing a LHP

MLB Player Prop: Pablo Lopez Hits Allowed

MLB Player Props Pablo Lopez
Pablo Lopez eclipsed his Hits Allowed prop in five straight starts to end his ‘23 season – Across this span, Lopez was giving up just under six HitsAllowed/Start. His 2nd straight opening start will come against the Royals – Last season, Lopez was under this number in two of his three starts vs KC: 2, 8, & 4 Hits Allowed

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