Friday’s NBA Slate in 5 Graphs

March 17, 2023

Statistical insights, trends, and outliers that should be on your radar today.

James Harden has hit his “3PT Made” prop in seven of his last 10 – Over his L10, he’s logging 3.4 3PTM/G on 7.9 3PTA/G. The Hornets allow the 13th most 3PTM/G while having the 2nd worst defense vs SGs – Harden was able to make three 3PTs in his last game vs CHA
Logging 7.8 Assists/G over his L5, Terry Rozier has dished out six or more “Assists” in five straight games. The 76ers head into this matchup allowing the 6th fewest Assists/G – Rozier has had exactly six Assists in both games vs PHI this season
Jabari Smith has went over his “Points” prop in each of his last five games – During this streak, Smith’s 12.5 Points/G season average jumps to 21.4 Points/G. The Pelicans allow the 14th most Points/G, but have the 5th best defense vs PFs – Smith has failed to hit this number in both games vs NOP

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Damian Lillard has grabbed six or more “Rebounds” in seven of his last 10 – Across this span, he’s averaging 7.1 Rebounds/G. Heading into this matchup, the Celtics give up the 12th most Rebounds/G – Lillard faced BOS 3 games ago and went under by 1 rebound. Can the Celtics slow him down again?
Evan Mobley has eclipsed his “Steals” prop in eight of his last 10 – This includes three straight games. The Wizards may allow the 10th fewest Steals/G, but Mobley has had two Steals in both games vs WAS. How many steals will Mobley record tonight?

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